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April 8, 2026 – Market Update
On a nice sunny Wednesday in Toronto, headlines this morning claim that the US and Iran reached a two-week ceasefire while negotiations continue, and markets reacted. NYMEX slipped $0.115 USD/MMBtu and Dawn fell $0.139 CAD/GJ, while WTI was hit much harder, down $17.73 to $95.52 USD/bbl as crude gave back a chunk of its geopolitical…
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April 7, 2026 – Market Update
A sunny Tuesday in Toronto, and the energy market stayed soft. The 12-month NYMEX strip rose $0.05 USD/MMBtu, Dawn added $0.07 CAD/GJ, and WTI was up $0.67/bbl to $113.08. In Ontario, net imports fell another 710 MMcf/d to 1,309 MMcf/d as St. Clair and NEXUS remained pressured by maintenance, while Trans Canada Pipeline kept delivering…
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April 6th, 2026 – Market Update
Grey skies in Toronto, but not much movement in gas. The 12-month NYMEX and Dawn curves were both essentially flat, while WTI continued higher, up $0.94 USD/bbl to $112.48. Ontario flows improved a bit on the day, but that did not change the local read, as Dawn remained soft with refill continuing to build. Trans…
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April 2, 2026 – Market Update
With rain in Toronto and markets still feeling heavy, the bigger story today was the split between oil and gas. WTI surged $11.23 USD/bbl to $111.35 as Trump’s latest remarks on Iran offered no real path toward de-escalation, keeping the geopolitical premium firmly in crude, while gas was much quieter, with the 12-month NYMEX strip…
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April 1, 2026 – Market Update
Kicking off the new month on a weaker note, energy markets softened on the day, with the 12-month NYMEX strip down $0.07 USD/MMBtu, the 12-month Dawn strip down $0.09 CAD/GJ, and WTI down $1.33 USD/bbl to $100.05. Ontario was the main story, as net imports fell sharply by 863 MMcf/d to 2,875 MMcf/d, driven by…
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March 31, 2026 – Market Update
It’s been a mix of sunshine and rain today in Toronto. Energy markets were weaker on the day, with the 12-month NYMEX strip down $0.09 USD/MMBtu, the 12-month Dawn strip down $0.10 CAD/GJ, and WTI falling $0.78 USD/bbl to $102.10. It was otherwise a relatively quiet day in Ontario, as net Ontario imports eased modestly…
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March 30, 2026 – Market Update
A beautiful sunny Monday out in Toronto. Over the 12-month strip, NYMEX was down $0.10 USD/MMBtu on the day, while the 12-month Dawn strip fell $0.05 CAD/GJ. WTI moved higher, rising $4.33 USD/bbl to $103.97. In Ontario, imports strengthened on Midwest demand, though the broader shoulder season transition remains intact as warmer weather and improving…
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March 27, 2026 – Market Update
It’s a sunny Friday afternoon here in Toronto, and the market is relatively quiet on gas but much stronger on oil. NYMEX was up just $0.01 USD/MMBtu on the day, while Dawn gained $0.12 CAD/GJ. WTI was the larger mover, rising $4.41 to $98.89 USD/b as of 2:00 pm. In Ontario, net imports fell to…
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March 26, 2026 – Market Update
Energy markets were a bit firmer today, with the Dawn forward strip up about $0.03 CAD/GJ, NYMEX up roughly $0.02 USD/MMBtu, and WTI up $4.09 to $94.41 USD/bbl. Ontario fundamentals were steady overall, with St. Clair continuing to support supply as the market gets closer to the NEXUS Colerain zero-capacity event. In the U.S., the…
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March 25, 2026 – Market Update
A rather uneventful day for the market with no change to NYMEX 12-monthh futures contracts, Dawn moving up $0.01 CAD/GJ, and WTI down $1.26 USD/b to $91.09 USD/b. April is shaping up to be a serious constraint month for Appalachian supply into Dawn. NEXUS, Rover, and REX all face maintenance, and the timing stacks on…
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March 24, 2026 – Market Update
A mild afternoon in Toronto and a quiet day for natural gas, while oil moved higher. The NYMEX 12-month strip was unchanged, Dawn slipped $0.01 CAD/GJ, and WTI rose $3.39 USD/b to $91.46 USD/b. The focus in gas continues to be maintenance risk rather than outright price action. In Western Canada, the market is watching…
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March 23, 2026 – Market Update
A sunny day in Toronto and a rather weak day for energy markets. The NYMEX 12-month forward curve fell $0.165 USD/MMBtu, Dawn 12-month forward curve dropped $0.20 CAD/GJ. A big part of the pressure on gas looks to be weather-driven, with forecasts shifting sharply warmer across Canada and the U.S. Midwest/Northeast. In Ontario, early April…
